Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 10:45 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
4.28 (league 1.50)
1.04 (league 1.16)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.2% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
best score tips
4 - 1
7.1%
4 - 0
6.9%
3 - 1
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Difai Ağsu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Safa Baku | Difai Ağsu |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 100% | 43% |
| Defense | 57% | 21% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 14 | 2.8 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
73%
FT probability
3.5+
52%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Safa Baku | Difai Ağsu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 75% | 100% | 86% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Draws | 25% | 0% | 14% | 0% | 25% | 14% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 71% |
Form: Safa Baku: WWWWWDW • Difai Ağsu: DLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Safa Baku | Difai Ağsu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 9 | 20 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| GF avg | 2.8 | 3.0 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 15 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 2.0 | 2.3 | 2.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Safa Baku | Difai Ağsu | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 57% | 71% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 100% | 29% | 29% | 86% |
| 2.5 | 57% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 29% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Safa Baku | Difai Ağsu | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Safa Baku | Difai Ağsu |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Safa Baku | Difai Ağsu |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | — | 1-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 1 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Safa Baku | Difai Ağsu |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 70% | 30% |
| Def | 65% | 35% |
| Poisson Distribution | 79% | 21% |
| H2h | 0% | 100% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
Advice: Combo Winner : Safa Baku and +1.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Safa Baku = 4.28 (league 1.50), Difai Ağsu = 1.04 (league 1.16)
| Difai Ağsu | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 6.9% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 6.7% · Away win 4.1%
vtt 2 , vtd1