Fri, Nov 21 2025 • 10:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.48) 1.49 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 24.1% 36.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Səbail
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baku Sportinq 0 4.8% 7.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.4% 11.0% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaku SportinqSəbail
Played55
Form53%73%
Attack40%30%
Defense80%90%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baku Sportinq Səbail
HATHAT
Played437437
Wins50%33%43%100%33%71%
Draws25%67%43%0%67%29%
Loses25%0%14%0%0%0%

Form: Baku Sportinq: DWWDLDW • Səbail: WWWDWDW

League goals

Metric Baku Sportinq Səbail
HATHAT
GF total94136410
GF avg2.31.31.91.51.31.4
GA total538033
GA avg1.31.01.10.01.00.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaku SportinqSəbail
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%71%86%29%
1.557%43%57%14%
2.529%0%0%0%
3.514%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaku SportinqSəbail
HATHAT
Clean sheets112415
Failed to score011011

Penalties

MetricBaku SportinqSəbail
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricBaku SportinqSəbail
Wins23
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-32-01-2
Biggest losses1-2
Goals For4322
Goals Against2202

Model comparison

MetricBaku SportinqSəbail
Form42%58%
Att57%43%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total45.0%55.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Səbail

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.80 @ Unibet
Draw3.75 @ Bet365
Away1.60 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.05 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ Unibet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baku Sportinq = 1.55 (league 1.48), Səbail = 1.49 (league 1.13)

Səbail
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baku Sportinq 0 4.8% 7.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.4% 11.0% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 36.2%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1