Wed, Nov 26 2025 • 10:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.55 (league 1.48) 1.49 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.7% 24.1% 36.2%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Baku Sportinq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mingəçevir 0 4.8% 7.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.4% 11.0% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMingəçevirBaku Sportinq
Played55
Form67%40%
Attack85%31%
Defense54%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mingəçevir Baku Sportinq
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins67%60%63%40%33%38%
Draws0%20%13%40%67%50%
Loses33%20%25%20%0%13%

Form: Mingəçevir: LWWDWWLW • Baku Sportinq: DWWDLDWD

League goals

Metric Mingəçevir Baku Sportinq
HATHAT
GF total79169413
GF avg2.31.82.01.81.31.6
GA total459538
GA avg1.31.01.11.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMingəçevirBaku Sportinq
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%63%75%63%
1.575%38%50%38%
2.550%13%25%0%
3.50%0%13%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMingəçevirBaku Sportinq
HATHAT
Clean sheets123213
Failed to score022112

Penalties

MetricMingəçevirBaku Sportinq
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricMingəçevirBaku Sportinq
Wins22
Draws11
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-34-12-3
Biggest losses2-32-01-2
Goals For3343
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricMingəçevirBaku Sportinq
Form63%38%
Att73%27%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution47%53%
H2h67%33%
Goals75%25%
Total59.7%40.5%

Advice: Double chance : Mingəçevir or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.88 @ Unibet
Draw3.51 @ Pinnacle
Away4.57 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.74 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ William Hill
No1.90 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mingəçevir = 1.55 (league 1.48), Baku Sportinq = 1.49 (league 1.13)

Baku Sportinq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mingəçevir 0 4.8% 7.1% 5.3% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
1 7.4% 11.0% 8.2% 4.1% 1.5% 0.5%
2 5.7% 8.6% 6.4% 3.2% 1.2% 0.4%
3 3.0% 4.4% 3.3% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
4 1.2% 1.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.7% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 36.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1