Thu, Nov 27 2025 • 10:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.48) 4.50 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
5.4% 7.3% 57.4%
best score tips
1 - 4
6.6%
1 - 5
6.0%
1 - 3
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
Safa Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Şahdağ 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.9% 4.4% 4.9% 4.4%
1 0.4% 1.8% 3.9% 5.9% 6.6% 6.0%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.7% 4.0% 4.5% 4.0%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricŞahdağSafa Baku
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack44%75%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Şahdağ Safa Baku
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins33%40%38%60%100%75%
Draws33%0%13%40%0%25%
Loses33%60%50%0%0%0%

Form: Şahdağ: WLLDWLWL • Safa Baku: WWWWWDWD

League goals

Metric Şahdağ Safa Baku
HATHAT
GF total651112921
GF avg2.01.01.42.43.02.6
GA total5813437
GA avg1.71.61.60.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineŞahdağSafa Baku
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%88%100%63%
1.550%50%88%25%
2.513%25%50%0%
3.513%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricŞahdağSafa Baku
HATHAT
Clean sheets101213
Failed to score123000

Penalties

MetricŞahdağSafa Baku
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricŞahdağSafa Baku
Wins15
Draws11
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-21-24-10-4
Biggest losses2-33-1
Goals For4244
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricŞahdağSafa Baku
Form39%61%
Att37%63%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution23%77%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.3%62.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Safa Baku and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Unibet
Draw4.90 @ Unibet
Away1.40 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.15 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ Unibet
No1.91 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Şahdağ = 1.35 (league 1.48), Safa Baku = 4.50 (league 1.13)

Safa Baku
0 1 2 3 4 5
Şahdağ 0 0.3% 1.3% 2.9% 4.4% 4.9% 4.4%
1 0.4% 1.8% 3.9% 5.9% 6.6% 6.0%
2 0.3% 1.2% 2.7% 4.0% 4.5% 4.0%
3 0.1% 0.5% 1.2% 1.8% 2.0% 1.8%
4 0.0% 0.2% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 0.6%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 5.4% · Draw 7.3% · Away win 57.4%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1