Thu, Dec 11 2025 • 10:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.81 (league 1.48)
1.27 (league 1.13)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.7% | 29.0% | 47.1% |
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
1 - 1
12.8%
0 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Zaqatala | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 12.5% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Safa Baku | Zaqatala |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 60% |
| Attack | 71% | 64% |
| Defense | 57% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
69%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Safa Baku | Zaqatala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 4 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 60% | 100% | 78% | 40% | 75% | 56% |
| Draws | 40% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 0% | 11% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
Form: Safa Baku: WWWWWDWDW • Zaqatala: WLWDLLWWW
League goals
| Metric | Safa Baku | Zaqatala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 12 | 11 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 2.4 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Safa Baku | Zaqatala | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 56% | 78% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 89% | 22% | 33% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 44% | 0% | 11% | 22% |
| 3.5 | 22% | 0% | 11% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Safa Baku | Zaqatala | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Safa Baku | Zaqatala |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Safa Baku | Zaqatala |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 0-4 | 1-0 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-4 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Safa Baku | Zaqatala |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 55% | 45% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 42% | 58% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 48.8% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Safa Baku or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Safa Baku = 0.81 (league 1.48), Zaqatala = 1.27 (league 1.13)
| Zaqatala | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 12.5% | 15.9% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.8% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | |
| 2 | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 1.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.7% · Draw 29.0% · Away win 47.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1