Wed, Feb 18 2026 • 10:30 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.50) 1.31 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
41.2% 25.1% 33.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
9.0%
2 - 1
8.9%
Score & goals probability table
Baku Sportinq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cəbrayıl 0 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.8% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCəbrayılBaku Sportinq
Played55
Form7%87%
Attack50%67%
Defense0%75%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

88%
FT probability

2.5+

62%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cəbrayıl Baku Sportinq
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins50%13%29%63%50%57%
Draws17%0%7%25%50%36%
Loses33%88%64%13%0%7%

Form: Cəbrayıl: LLLWLWLWWLLLDL • Baku Sportinq: DWWDLDWDWWWWDW

League goals

Metric Cəbrayıl Baku Sportinq
HATHAT
GF total1772415823
GF avg2.80.91.71.91.31.6
GA total721287512
GA avg1.22.62.00.90.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCəbrayılBaku Sportinq
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%86%64%
1.550%57%57%21%
2.521%36%14%0%
3.514%21%7%0%
4.57%7%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCəbrayılBaku Sportinq
HATHAT
Clean sheets213325
Failed to score145112

Penalties

MetricCəbrayılBaku Sportinq
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricCəbrayılBaku Sportinq
Wins24
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-24-12-3
Biggest losses1-35-21-2
Goals For7243
Goals Against3522

Model comparison

MetricCəbrayılBaku Sportinq
Form7%93%
Att43%57%
Def18%82%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h25%75%
Goals33%67%
Total30.2%69.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Baku Sportinq

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.74 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.87 @ Pinnacle
Away1.87 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.91 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No2.05 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cəbrayıl = 1.50 (league 1.50), Baku Sportinq = 1.31 (league 1.19)

Baku Sportinq
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cəbrayıl 0 6.0% 7.9% 5.2% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
1 9.0% 11.8% 7.8% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 6.8% 8.9% 5.8% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 3.4% 4.4% 2.9% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.7% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 41.2% · Draw 25.1% · Away win 33.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1