Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 1.46) 0.82 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.9% 21.4% 15.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.9%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Şahdağ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Safa Baku 0 6.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSafa BakuŞahdağ
Played55
Form60%87%
Attack76%65%
Defense76%82%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.611 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Safa Baku Şahdağ
HATHAT
Played88168816
Wins38%88%63%50%38%44%
Draws63%13%38%25%13%19%
Loses0%0%0%25%50%38%

Form: Safa Baku: WWWWWDWDWDWWDDDW • Şahdağ: WLLDWLWLLLDDWWWW

League goals

Metric Safa Baku Şahdağ
HATHAT
GF total16223817825
GF avg2.02.82.42.11.01.6
GA total8412111122
GA avg1.00.50.81.41.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSafa BakuŞahdağ
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%56%75%75%
1.569%19%44%50%
2.531%0%19%13%
3.519%0%19%0%
4.56%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSafa BakuŞahdağ
HATHAT
Clean sheets257314
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricSafa BakuŞahdağ
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricSafa BakuŞahdağ
Wins51
Draws32
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-84-01-2
Biggest losses0-23-1
Goals For4842
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricSafa BakuŞahdağ
Form41%59%
Att54%46%
Def43%57%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total52.0%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Safa Baku or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.60 @ Betfair
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.80 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ William Hill
No1.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Safa Baku = 1.92 (league 1.46), Şahdağ = 0.82 (league 1.22)

Şahdağ
0 1 2 3 4 5
Safa Baku 0 6.4% 5.3% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.9% 9.8% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.6% 6.3% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.7% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.9% · Draw 21.4% · Away win 15.3%

vtt 1 , vtd1