Thu, Mar 5 2026 • 11:00 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.87 (league 1.50)
0.84 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 60.5% | 22.0% | 16.3% |
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
10.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Şahdağ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 87% |
| Attack | 76% | 65% |
| Defense | 76% | 82% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 11 | 2.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
83%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
75%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 38% | 88% | 63% | 50% | 38% | 44% |
| Draws | 63% | 13% | 38% | 25% | 13% | 19% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Safa Baku: WWWWWDWDWDWWDDDW • Şahdağ: WLLDWLWLLLDDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 16 | 22 | 38 | 17 | 8 | 25 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 2.8 | 2.4 | 2.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| GA total | 8 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 22 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.4 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Safa Baku | Şahdağ | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 94% | 56% | 75% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 69% | 19% | 44% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 31% | 0% | 19% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 19% | 0% | 19% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 6% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 6 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 6 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-8 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 3-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 8 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Safa Baku | Şahdağ |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 41% | 59% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 70% | 30% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 100% | 0% |
| Total | 52.0% | 48.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Safa Baku or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Safa Baku = 1.87 (league 1.50), Şahdağ = 0.84 (league 1.19)
| Şahdağ | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Safa Baku | 0 | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 12.4% | 10.4% | 4.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.6% | 9.8% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.5% · Draw 22.0% · Away win 16.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1