Thu, Mar 12 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.46) 1.04 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
33.4% 30.6% 35.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.7%
1 - 1
13.5%
0 - 0
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
Səbail
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mingəçevir 0 13.2% 13.7% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMingəçevirSəbail
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack44%28%
Defense89%89%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

60%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Mingəçevir Səbail
HATHAT
Played89179817
Wins50%56%53%56%38%47%
Draws25%33%29%22%50%35%
Loses25%11%18%22%13%18%

Form: Mingəçevir: LWWDWWLWLWDDWDDWW • Səbail: WWWDWDWDLWDLWDLDW

League goals

Metric Mingəçevir Səbail
HATHAT
GF total131629121123
GF avg1.61.81.71.31.41.4
GA total78156713
GA avg0.90.90.90.70.90.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMingəçevirSəbail
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%53%65%41%
1.559%29%47%24%
2.529%6%18%6%
3.50%0%6%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMingəçevirSəbail
HATHAT
Clean sheets4487310
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricMingəçevirSəbail
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricMingəçevirSəbail
Wins23
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-33-01-4
Biggest losses2-32-00-21-0
Goals For3334
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricMingəçevirSəbail
Form58%42%
Att62%38%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%88%
Total46.8%53.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Səbail and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.20 @ William Hill
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Betfair
No1.80 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Mingəçevir = 0.99 (league 1.46), Səbail = 1.04 (league 1.22)

Səbail
0 1 2 3 4 5
Mingəçevir 0 13.2% 13.7% 7.1% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.1% 13.5% 7.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1%
2 6.5% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
3 2.1% 2.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.4% · Draw 30.6% · Away win 35.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1