Wed, Mar 18 2026 • 11:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.05 (league 1.46) 1.33 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.4% 27.4% 42.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
0 - 1
12.3%
1 - 0
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
Mingəçevir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baku Sportinq 0 9.2% 12.3% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaku SportinqMingəçevir
Played55
Form67%53%
Attack70%50%
Defense70%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baku Sportinq Mingəçevir
HATHAT
Played99189918
Wins56%56%56%44%56%50%
Draws22%44%33%22%33%28%
Loses22%0%11%33%11%22%

Form: Baku Sportinq: DWWDLDWDWWWWDWWDLW • Mingəçevir: LWWDWWLWLWDDWDDWWL

League goals

Metric Baku Sportinq Mingəçevir
HATHAT
GF total151328131629
GF avg1.71.41.61.41.81.6
GA total87158816
GA avg0.90.80.80.90.90.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaku SportinqMingəçevir
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%67%78%56%
1.556%17%56%28%
2.517%0%28%6%
3.56%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaku SportinqMingəçevir
HATHAT
Clean sheets336448
Failed to score224224

Penalties

MetricBaku SportinqMingəçevir
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricBaku SportinqMingəçevir
Wins42
Draws12
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-33-10-3
Biggest losses1-22-32-0
Goals For4333
Goals Against2232

Model comparison

MetricBaku SportinqMingəçevir
Form56%44%
Att58%42%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h40%60%
Goals33%67%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mingəçevir and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.97 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away2.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Betfair
No1.85 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baku Sportinq = 1.05 (league 1.46), Mingəçevir = 1.33 (league 1.22)

Mingəçevir
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baku Sportinq 0 9.2% 12.3% 8.2% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
1 9.7% 12.9% 8.6% 3.8% 1.3% 0.3%
2 5.1% 6.8% 4.5% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.8% 2.4% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 42.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1