Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 11:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.46)
2.00 (league 1.22)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1% | 17.8% | 74.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
18.4%
0 - 2
18.4%
0 - 3
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Safa Baku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mingəçevir | 0 | 9.2% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 87% |
| Attack | 67% | 100% |
| Defense | 56% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 15 | 3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
78%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 50% | 47% | 50% | 89% | 68% |
| Draws | 22% | 40% | 32% | 50% | 11% | 32% |
| Loses | 33% | 10% | 21% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Mingəçevir: LWWDWWLWLWDDWDDWWLD • Safa Baku: WWWWWDWDWDWWDDDWWWW
League goals
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 13 | 17 | 30 | 19 | 24 | 43 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
| GA total | 8 | 9 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 58% | 95% | 53% |
| 1.5 | 53% | 26% | 68% | 16% |
| 2.5 | 26% | 5% | 26% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 16% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 6 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 6 |
Streaks
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 4-1 | 1-8 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 2-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Mingəçevir | Safa Baku |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 38% | 62% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 20% | 80% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 44% | 56% |
| Total | 33.5% | 66.5% |
Advice: Winner : Safa Baku
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Mingəçevir = 0.38 (league 1.46), Safa Baku = 2.00 (league 1.22)
| Safa Baku | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Mingəçevir | 0 | 9.2% | 18.4% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| 1 | 3.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.9% | |
| 2 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 6.1% · Draw 17.8% · Away win 74.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1