Iraqi League — Iraq
Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 17:30 • Al Faihaa Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.69 (league 1.28) 2.82 (league 1.06)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 11.2% 14.1%
best score tips
4 - 2
4.4%
4 - 3
4.1%
5 - 2
4.1%
Score & goals probability table
Erbil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Minaa Basra 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
2 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%
3 0.9% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4%
4 1.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6%
5 1.0% 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl Minaa BasraErbil
Played11
Form100%100%
Attack20%20%
Defense93%87%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 33 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 12 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al Minaa Basra Erbil
HATHAT
Played011101
Wins—100%100%100%—100%
Draws—0%0%0%—0%
Loses—0%0%0%—0%

Form: Al Minaa Basra: W • Erbil: W

League goals

Metric Al Minaa Basra Erbil
HATHAT
GF total033303
GF avg0.03.03.03.00.03.0
GA total011202
GA avg0.01.01.02.00.02.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl Minaa BasraErbil
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%100%100%
1.5100%0%100%100%
2.5100%0%100%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl Minaa BasraErbil
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricAl Minaa BasraErbil
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAl Minaa BasraErbil
Wins11
Draws00
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-33-2—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0330
Goals Against0120

Model comparison

MetricAl Minaa BasraErbil
Form50%50%
Att50%50%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h60%40%
Goals46%54%
Total54.6%45.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Al Minaa Basra or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al Minaa Basra = 4.69 (league 1.28), Erbil = 2.82 (league 1.06)

Erbil
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al Minaa Basra 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
1 0.3% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4%
2 0.6% 1.7% 2.4% 2.3% 1.6% 0.9%
3 0.9% 2.7% 3.8% 3.5% 2.5% 1.4%
4 1.1% 3.1% 4.4% 4.1% 2.9% 1.6%
5 1.0% 2.9% 4.1% 3.9% 2.7% 1.5%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 14.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1