Iraqi League — Iraq
Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 15:00 • Al-Najaf International Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.28) 1.40 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.2% 27.0% 46.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.2%
Baghdad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Qasim 0 9.2% 13.0% 9.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.0% 12.7% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAl-QasimBaghdad
Played22
Form0%0%
Attack7%7%
Defense64%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.5
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 2.55 | 2.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Al-Qasim Baghdad
HATHAT
Played112202
Wins0%0%0%0%—0%
Draws0%0%0%0%—0%
Loses100%100%100%100%—100%

Form: Al-Qasim: LL • Baghdad: LL

League goals

Metric Al-Qasim Baghdad
HATHAT
GF total011101
GF avg0.01.00.50.50.00.5
GA total325505
GA avg3.02.02.52.50.02.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAl-QasimBaghdad
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%100%50%100%
1.50%100%0%100%
2.50%50%0%50%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAl-QasimBaghdad
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricAl-QasimBaghdad
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricAl-QasimBaghdad
Wins00
Draws00
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses0-32-10-3—
Goals For0110
Goals Against3230

Model comparison

MetricAl-QasimBaghdad
Form0%0%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h71%29%
Goals57%43%
Total57.0%43.0%

Advice: Double chance : Al-Qasim or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Al-Qasim = 0.98 (league 1.28), Baghdad = 1.40 (league 1.07)

Baghdad
0 1 2 3 4 5
Al-Qasim 0 9.2% 13.0% 9.1% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4%
1 9.0% 12.7% 8.9% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 4.4% 6.2% 4.4% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.4% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.2% · Draw 27.0% · Away win 46.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1