Iraqi League — Iraq
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 15:00 • Al Saher Ahmed Radhi Stadium
Match Finished
0 - 3
Expected Goals
0.78 (league 1.28) 0.05 (league 1.07)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 45.3% 2.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
43.6%
1 - 0
34.0%
2 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 43.6% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaghdadMosul
Played11
Form0%0%
Attack6%0%
Defense88%94%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 10 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 21 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baghdad Mosul
HATHAT
Played101011
Wins0%—0%—0%0%
Draws0%—0%—0%0%
Loses100%—100%—100%100%

Form: Baghdad: L • Mosul: L

League goals

Metric Baghdad Mosul
HATHAT
GF total101000
GF avg1.00.01.00.00.00.0
GA total202011
GA avg2.00.02.00.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaghdadMosul
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%100%0%100%
1.50%100%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaghdadMosul
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricBaghdadMosul
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBaghdadMosul
Wins00
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins————
Biggest losses1-2——1-0
Goals For1000
Goals Against2001

Model comparison

MetricBaghdadMosul
Form0%0%
Att100%0%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.0%67.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Baghdad or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baghdad = 0.78 (league 1.28), Mosul = 0.05 (league 1.07)

Mosul
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baghdad 0 43.6% 2.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 34.0% 1.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 13.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 45.3% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1