Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Adolfo Rollemberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.76) 1.21 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.6% 30.2% 48.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.7%
0 - 0
14.6%
1 - 1
12.6%
Score & goals probability table
Desportiva Aracaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo SE 0 14.6% 17.7% 10.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.4% 12.6% 7.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
Played44
Form50%83%
Attack60%100%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.515 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 12 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo SE Desportiva Aracaju
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Flamengo SE: WLWL • Desportiva Aracaju: WDWW

League goals

Metric Flamengo SE Desportiva Aracaju
HATHAT
GF total51612315
GF avg2.50.51.56.01.53.8
GA total044112
GA avg0.02.01.00.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%50%
1.550%50%75%0%
2.525%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-0—8-10-2
Biggest losses—2-0——
Goals For3182
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
Form38%63%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.3%67.0%

Advice: Winner : Desportiva Aracaju

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.85 @ 1xBet
Draw4.85 @ Marathonbet
Away1.36 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Flamengo SE = 0.71 (league 1.76), Desportiva Aracaju = 1.21 (league 1.24)

Desportiva Aracaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo SE 0 14.6% 17.7% 10.8% 4.4% 1.3% 0.3%
1 10.4% 12.6% 7.6% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 3.7% 4.5% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.9% 1.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 30.2% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1