Thu, Oct 9 2025 • 18:00 • Estadio Adolfo Rollemberg
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.72 (league 1.73) 1.45 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.6% 26.8% 54.2%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 2
12.0%
1 - 1
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
Desportiva Aracaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo SE 0 11.4% 16.5% 12.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
Played44
Form50%83%
Attack60%100%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.515 | 3.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 12 | 0.5

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

81%
FT probability

2.5+

57%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Flamengo SE Desportiva Aracaju
HATHAT
Played224224
Wins100%0%50%100%50%75%
Draws0%0%0%0%50%25%
Loses0%100%50%0%0%0%

Form: Flamengo SE: WLWL • Desportiva Aracaju: WDWW

League goals

Metric Flamengo SE Desportiva Aracaju
HATHAT
GF total51612315
GF avg2.50.51.56.01.53.8
GA total044112
GA avg0.02.01.00.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%50%100%50%
1.550%50%75%0%
2.525%0%50%0%
3.50%0%50%0%
4.50%0%25%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
Wins11
Draws01
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-08-10-2
Biggest losses2-0
Goals For3182
Goals Against0211

Model comparison

MetricFlamengo SEDesportiva Aracaju
Form38%63%
Att29%71%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total33.3%67.0%

Advice: Winner : Desportiva Aracaju

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.85 @ 1xBet
Draw4.85 @ Marathonbet
Away1.36 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.60 @ Betfair
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Flamengo SE = 0.72 (league 1.73), Desportiva Aracaju = 1.45 (league 1.03)

Desportiva Aracaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Flamengo SE 0 11.4% 16.5% 12.0% 5.8% 2.1% 0.6%
1 8.2% 11.9% 8.7% 4.2% 1.5% 0.4%
2 3.0% 4.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
3 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.6% · Draw 26.8% · Away win 54.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1