Sergipano - 2
— Brazil
Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio André Avelino
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.76)
0.20 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 74.8% | 20.5% | 3.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
25.4%
2 - 0
21.6%
0 - 0
14.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Flamengo SE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caninde | 0 | 14.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.6% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Caninde | Flamengo SE |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 40% |
| Attack | 50% | 43% |
| Defense | 36% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
71%
FT probability
2.5+
50%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
59%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Caninde | Flamengo SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 67% | 40% | 33% | 100% | 60% |
Form: Caninde: LWLDW • Flamengo SE: WLWLL
League goals
| Metric | Caninde | Flamengo SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 1 | 8 | 9 | 1 | 4 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1.8 | 0.3 | 2.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Caninde | Flamengo SE | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 40% | 40% | 20% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 40% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Caninde | Flamengo SE | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Caninde | Flamengo SE |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Caninde | Flamengo SE |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 4-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Caninde | Flamengo SE |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 54% | 46% |
| Att | 54% | 46% |
| Def | 36% | 64% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 83% | 17% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Caninde or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Caninde = 1.70 (league 1.76), Flamengo SE = 0.20 (league 1.24)
| Flamengo SE | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Caninde | 0 | 14.9% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 25.4% | 5.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 21.6% | 4.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 12.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 74.8% · Draw 20.5% · Away win 3.9%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1