Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 18:00 •
Estádio Estadual Lourival Baptista
Expected Goals
2.44 (league 1.76)
0.32 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 80.4% | 12.4% | 3.4% |
best score tips
2 - 0
18.8%
1 - 0
15.4%
3 - 0
15.3%
Score & goals probability table
| América de Pedrinhas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desportiva Aracaju | 0 | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | América de Pedrinhas |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 47% |
| Attack | 56% | 25% |
| Defense | 94% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
88%
FT probability
2.5+
62%
FT probability
3.5+
44%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | América de Pedrinhas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 75% | 88% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
| Draws | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
Form: Desportiva Aracaju: WDWWWWWW • América de Pedrinhas: WDLWLLWD
League goals
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | América de Pedrinhas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 17 | 5 | 22 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 4.3 | 1.3 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 11 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.8 | 1.0 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Desportiva Aracaju | América de Pedrinhas | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 38% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 63% | 0% | 38% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 38% | 0% | 13% | 25% |
| 3.5 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | América de Pedrinhas | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | América de Pedrinhas |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | América de Pedrinhas |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 8-1 | 0-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Desportiva Aracaju | América de Pedrinhas |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 68% | 32% |
| Att | 69% | 31% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 89% | 11% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 78.0% | 22.0% |
Advice: Winner : Desportiva Aracaju
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Desportiva Aracaju = 2.44 (league 1.76), América de Pedrinhas = 0.32 (league 1.24)
| América de Pedrinhas | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Desportiva Aracaju | 0 | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.4% | 5.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 18.8% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 15.3% | 4.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 9.3% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 80.4% · Draw 12.4% · Away win 3.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1