Sergipano - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 18:00 •
Estadio Adolfo Rollemberg
Expected Goals
1.43 (league 1.79)
1.55 (league 1.03)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.7% | 24.3% | 40.1% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
1 - 2
8.7%
2 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Frei Paulistano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Flamengo SE | 0 | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 60% |
| Attack | 33% | 80% |
| Defense | 60% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
82%
FT probability
2.5+
58%
FT probability
3.5+
41%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 14% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 71% | 50% | 33% | 43% |
Form: Flamengo SE: WLWLLLL • Frei Paulistano: LDWLWWL
League goals
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 1 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 15 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 2.1 |
| GA total | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 71% | 57% | 86% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 43% | 57% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 14% | 0% | 57% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 29% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 14% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 25% | 75% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 53% | 47% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Frei Paulistano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Flamengo SE = 1.43 (league 1.79), Frei Paulistano = 1.55 (league 1.03)
| Frei Paulistano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Flamengo SE | 0 | 5.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.3% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 5.2% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 40.1%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1