Sergipano - 2
— Brazil
Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 •
Estadio Adolfo Rollemberg
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.76)
1.16 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 34.2% | 28.6% | 37.0% |
best score tips
1 - 1
13.3%
0 - 1
12.0%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Frei Paulistano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Flamengo SE | 0 | 10.3% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 0% | 60% |
| Attack | 21% | 64% |
| Defense | 29% | 71% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 9 | 1.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
79%
FT probability
2.5+
55%
FT probability
3.5+
39%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Wins | 50% | 0% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 25% | 13% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 75% | 50% | 25% | 38% |
Form: Flamengo SE: WLWLLLLL • Frei Paulistano: LDWLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 2 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 16 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.3 | 1.8 | 2.0 |
| GA total | 3 | 9 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| GA avg | 0.8 | 2.3 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 63% | 75% | 63% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 50% | 50% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 50% | 13% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | — | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 4-1 | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Flamengo SE | Frei Paulistano |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 0% | 100% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 29% | 71% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 0% | 0% |
| Goals | 0% | 0% |
| Total | 34.3% | 65.7% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Frei Paulistano
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Flamengo SE = 1.11 (league 1.76), Frei Paulistano = 1.16 (league 1.24)
| Frei Paulistano | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Flamengo SE | 0 | 10.3% | 12.0% | 7.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 11.4% | 13.3% | 7.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.3% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 28.6% · Away win 37.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1