Wed, Sep 24 2025 • 14:00 • Stadio Miramare
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.54 (league 1.57) 14.84 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
0.0% 0.0% 0.3%
best score tips
2 - 5
0.1%
3 - 5
0.0%
1 - 5
0.0%
Score & goals probability table
Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manfredonia 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricManfredoniaSarnese
Played33
Form11%78%
Attack44%56%
Defense11%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.35 | 1.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 2.73 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

7.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

67%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Manfredonia Sarnese
HATHAT
Played123213
Wins0%0%0%50%100%67%
Draws0%50%33%50%0%33%
Loses100%50%67%0%0%0%

Form: Manfredonia: LLD • Sarnese: DWW

League goals

Metric Manfredonia Sarnese
HATHAT
GF total224235
GF avg2.01.01.31.03.01.7
GA total538123
GA avg5.01.52.70.52.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineManfredoniaSarnese
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%67%67%67%
1.567%67%67%33%
2.50%67%33%0%
3.50%33%0%0%
4.50%33%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricManfredoniaSarnese
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score011101

Penalties

MetricManfredoniaSarnese
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total20

Streaks

MetricManfredoniaSarnese
Wins00
Draws01
Losses20

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-3
Biggest losses2-53-2
Goals For2223
Goals Against5312

Model comparison

MetricManfredoniaSarnese
Form13%88%
Att44%56%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total25.3%75.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Sarnese and +4.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.95 @ Superbet
Draw3.28 @ Marathonbet
Away2.30 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.70 @ William Hill
No2.07 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Manfredonia = 2.54 (league 1.57), Sarnese = 14.84 (league 1.01)

Sarnese
0 1 2 3 4 5
Manfredonia 0 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.0% · Draw 0.0% · Away win 0.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1