Sun, Mar 15 2026 • 13:30 •
Stadio Ernesto Breda
Expected Goals
0.46 (league 1.21)
0.68 (league 1.17)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.6% | 42.7% | 35.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
31.8%
0 - 1
21.7%
1 - 0
14.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pro Sesto | 0 | 31.8% | 21.7% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 73% |
| Attack | 78% | 78% |
| Defense | 33% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
56%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 13 | 26 | 14 | 12 | 26 |
| Wins | 54% | 46% | 50% | 57% | 75% | 65% |
| Draws | 31% | 31% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 23% |
| Loses | 15% | 23% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 12% |
Form: Pro Sesto: WWWDDLWDWDDWWWLWWLDWDWDLWL • Desenzano Calvina: LDWDWLWWWDDWWWWWLWWWWWDWWD
League goals
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 18 | 19 | 37 | 28 | 19 | 47 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| GA total | 7 | 12 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 50% | 77% | 54% |
| 1.5 | 38% | 23% | 65% | 12% |
| 2.5 | 23% | 0% | 27% | 4% |
| 3.5 | 8% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 4% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 8 | 5 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 3 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 0-3 | 5-1 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pro Sesto | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 39% | 61% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 57% | 43% |
| Total | 47.8% | 52.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Desenzano Calvina and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.60 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ 1xBet
Away2.55 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Pro Sesto = 0.46 (league 1.21), Desenzano Calvina = 0.68 (league 1.17)
| Desenzano Calvina | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pro Sesto | 0 | 31.8% | 21.7% | 7.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 14.7% | 10.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.6% · Draw 42.7% · Away win 35.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1