Sat, Apr 25 2026 • 12:30 •
Venue TBA
Expected Goals
1.50 (league 1.60)
1.19 (league 1.37)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 44.1% | 25.5% | 29.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
1 - 0
10.2%
2 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Reggiana U19 | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Virtus Entella U19 | 0 | 6.8% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 10.2% | 12.1% | 7.2% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 7.7% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
FootyWow Elo verdict
Balanced Elo outlook
Elo reads this fixture as balanced. There is no strong structural separation before kickoff. Recent Elo movement: Virtus Entella U19 -8.2, Reggiana U19 +35.8.
Thin confidence
Upset risk: High
Elo standalone
Virtus Entella U19
vs
Reggiana U19
Elo gapVirtus Entella U19 +2
Home / draw / away35% / 30% / 35%
Expected home share50%
Combined Elo3055
Deep Elo analysisOpen
Structural edge
Balanced Elo outlook
Confidence band
Thin confidence
Upset risk
High
Model agreement
Elo standalone
Combined Elo
3055
Elo home share
50%
Match tone
Upset Watch
| Metric | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Overall Elo | 1511.2 | 1543.8 |
| Form Elo | 1497.8 | 1577 |
| Home / Away Elo | 1517.2 | 1513.8 |
| Attack Elo | 1531.6 | 1602.8 |
| Defense Elo | 1515.1 | 1492 |
| Last 5 Elo change | -8.2 | +35.8 |
The rating gap is narrow, so this is better treated as a volatile matchup than a banker spot. Virtus Entella U19 last-5 Elo change: -8.2; Reggiana U19 last-5 Elo change: +35.8.
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 80% |
| Attack | 41% | 82% |
| Defense | 64% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 18 | 3.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
86%
FT probability
2.5+
60%
FT probability
3.5+
43%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
na
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 14 | 27 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 38% | 21% | 30% | 43% | 46% | 44% |
| Draws | 46% | 43% | 44% | 29% | 15% | 22% |
| Loses | 15% | 36% | 26% | 29% | 38% | 33% |
Virtus Entella U19DWWWDDLWWDLWDDDDLLDLWDLWDDL
Reggiana U19LLDDLDLWWLLWLDDDWWWWLWWWLWW
League goals
| Metric | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 21 | 20 | 41 | 27 | 24 | 51 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.9 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 12 | 22 | 34 | 20 | 20 | 40 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 93% | 78% | 78% | 81% |
| 1.5 | 37% | 33% | 56% | 56% |
| 2.5 | 22% | 11% | 33% | 11% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 4% | 15% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 7% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 7 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 7 |
Streaks
| Metric | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-3 | 5-1 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-3 | 3-1 | 0-3 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 3 | 5 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Virtus Entella U19 | Reggiana U19 |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 29% | 71% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 55% | 45% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 47.5% | 52.5% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…