Tue, Nov 25 2025 • 16:00 • Stade Amahoro
Match Finished

APR

2 - 1
Expected Goals
0.54 (league 1.12) 1.16 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
17.1% 31.7% 51.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
21.3%
0 - 0
18.4%
0 - 2
12.3%
Score & goals probability table
Marines
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 18.4% 21.3% 12.3% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.9% 11.4% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAPRMarines
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack54%31%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

52%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric APR Marines
HATHAT
Played246437
Wins100%25%50%50%67%57%
Draws0%50%33%0%0%0%
Loses0%25%17%50%33%43%

Form: APR: WWDDWL • Marines: WWLLLWW

League goals

Metric APR Marines
HATHAT
GF total459448
GF avg2.01.31.51.01.31.1
GA total055314
GA avg0.01.30.80.80.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAPRMarines
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%50%71%43%
1.550%17%43%14%
2.517%17%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAPRMarines
HATHAT
Clean sheets213224
Failed to score011112

Penalties

MetricAPRMarines
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAPRMarines
Wins22
Draws20
Losses03

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-00-2
Biggest losses—3-21-21-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against0321

Model comparison

MetricAPRMarines
Form57%43%
Att64%36%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h93%7%
Goals68%32%
Total66.4%33.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : APR or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.00 @ 1xBet
Away7.20 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Betfair
No1.62 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): APR = 0.54 (league 1.12), Marines = 1.16 (league 0.90)

Marines
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 18.4% 21.3% 12.3% 4.7% 1.4% 0.3%
1 9.9% 11.4% 6.6% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2%
2 2.6% 3.1% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 17.1% · Draw 31.7% · Away win 51.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1