Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:30 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
3.49 (league 1.14)
0.05 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 82.3% | 3.4% | 0.2% |
best score tips
3 - 0
20.5%
4 - 0
17.9%
2 - 0
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
| Muhanga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 20.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | Muhanga |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 2 | 2 |
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Attack | 50% | 0% |
| Defense | 83% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 1.5 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.5 | 3 | 1.5 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
61%
FT probability
2.5+
43%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
64%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | Muhanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
Form: Police: WW • Muhanga: LL
League goals
| Metric | Police | Muhanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | Muhanga | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 50% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | Muhanga | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | Muhanga |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | Muhanga |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 0 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-1 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | Muhanga |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 100% | 0% |
| Att | 100% | 0% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 100% | 0% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 54.3% | 45.7% |
Advice: Winner : Police
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 3.49 (league 1.14), Muhanga = 0.05 (league 0.88)
| Muhanga | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 20.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 17.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 12.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 82.3% · Draw 3.4% · Away win 0.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1