Fri, Oct 17 2025 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.09) 0.54 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 41.2% 24.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.2%
1 - 0
20.1%
0 - 1
15.8%
Score & goals probability table
Gicumbi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gorilla 0 29.2% 15.8% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 10.9% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGorillaGicumbi
Played33
Form56%33%
Attack36%27%
Defense82%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.33 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.73 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

63%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gorilla Gicumbi
HATHAT
Played213123
Wins50%0%33%0%50%33%
Draws50%100%67%0%0%0%
Loses0%0%0%100%50%67%

Form: Gorilla: WDD • Gicumbi: LLW

League goals

Metric Gorilla Gicumbi
HATHAT
GF total314123
GF avg1.51.01.31.01.01.0
GA total112213
GA avg0.51.00.72.00.51.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGorillaGicumbi
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%67%67%67%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGorillaGicumbi
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricGorillaGicumbi
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGorillaGicumbi
Wins10
Draws00
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0——0-2
Biggest losses——1-21-0
Goals For2112
Goals Against1121

Model comparison

MetricGorillaGicumbi
Form63%38%
Att57%43%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution62%38%
H2h20%80%
Goals33%67%
Total49.2%51.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gorilla or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.92 @ 1xBet
Draw3.05 @ Dafabet
Away4.33 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gorilla = 0.69 (league 1.09), Gicumbi = 0.54 (league 0.92)

Gicumbi
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gorilla 0 29.2% 15.8% 4.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.1% 10.9% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.9% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 41.2% · Away win 24.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1