Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.14)
1.69 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9% | 19.0% | 79.2% |
best score tips
0 - 1
29.6%
0 - 2
25.1%
0 - 0
17.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Marines | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AS Kigali | 0 | 17.5% | 29.6% | 25.1% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | AS Kigali | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 11% | 78% |
| Attack | 22% | 44% |
| Defense | 56% | 100% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.7 | 4 | 1.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 0 | 0 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | AS Kigali | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Wins | 0% | 0% | 0% | 100% | 50% | 67% |
| Draws | 50% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 33% |
| Loses | 50% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: AS Kigali: LLD • Marines: DWW
League goals
| Metric | AS Kigali | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | AS Kigali | Marines | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 100% | 67% | 0% |
| 1.5 | 0% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | AS Kigali | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | AS Kigali | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | AS Kigali | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 0 | 0 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | — | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | — | — |
| Goals For | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Model comparison
| Metric | AS Kigali | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 13% | 88% |
| Att | 33% | 67% |
| Def | 0% | 100% |
| Poisson Distribution | 0% | 100% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 49.8% | 50.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Marines and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): AS Kigali = 0.05 (league 1.14), Marines = 1.69 (league 0.89)
| Marines | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| AS Kigali | 0 | 17.5% | 29.6% | 25.1% | 14.1% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 0.9% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 79.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1