Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 1.09)
1.08 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 43.3% | 26.9% | 29.4% |
best score tips
1 - 1
12.7%
1 - 0
11.8%
0 - 1
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Amagaju | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | Amagaju |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 3 | 3 |
| Form | 100% | 44% |
| Attack | 57% | 29% |
| Defense | 86% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 1.3 | 2 | 0.7 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.3 | 3 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
59%
FT probability
2.5+
42%
FT probability
3.5+
30%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | Amagaju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 0% | 100% | 33% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 33% |
Form: Police: WWW • Amagaju: WDL
League goals
| Metric | Police | Amagaju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | Amagaju | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 33% | 33% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 0% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | Amagaju | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | Amagaju |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | Amagaju |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-1 | — | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | Amagaju |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 69% | 31% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 75% | 25% |
| Poisson Distribution | 59% | 41% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 64% | 36% |
| Total | 65.7% | 34.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Police or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 1.38 (league 1.09), Amagaju = 1.08 (league 0.92)
| Amagaju | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 8.5% | 9.2% | 5.0% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.8% | 12.7% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 8.1% | 8.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.3% · Draw 26.9% · Away win 29.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1