Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 0
Expected Goals
1.32 (league 1.14) 1.14 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 27.1% 32.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.9%
1 - 0
11.3%
0 - 1
9.7%
Amagaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 8.5% 9.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.9% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPoliceAmagaju
Played33
Form100%44%
Attack57%29%
Defense86%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 1.32 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.33 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Police Amagaju
HATHAT
Played213213
Wins100%100%100%0%100%33%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%33%
Loses0%0%0%50%0%33%

Form: Police: WWW • Amagaju: WDL

League goals

Metric Police Amagaju
HATHAT
GF total314022
GF avg1.51.01.30.02.00.7
GA total101213
GA avg0.50.00.31.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePoliceAmagaju
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%33%33%67%
1.533%0%33%33%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPoliceAmagaju
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricPoliceAmagaju
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricPoliceAmagaju
Wins31
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1—1-2
Biggest losses——0-2—
Goals For2102
Goals Against1021

Model comparison

MetricPoliceAmagaju
Form69%31%
Att67%33%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h60%40%
Goals64%36%
Total65.7%34.3%

Advice: Double chance : Police or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Police = 1.32 (league 1.14), Amagaju = 1.14 (league 0.88)

Amagaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Police 0 8.5% 9.7% 5.6% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.3% 12.9% 7.3% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 7.4% 8.5% 4.8% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 3.3% 3.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
4 1.1% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 27.1% · Away win 32.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1