Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 16:30 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished

APR

1 - 0
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.14) 0.57 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.6% 37.0% 22.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
23.7%
1 - 0
20.7%
0 - 1
13.4%
Score & goals probability table
Mukura
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 23.7% 13.4% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAPRMukura
Played23
Form67%56%
Attack25%25%
Defense88%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 12 | 0.7
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.51 | 0.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

32%
FT probability

2.5+

23%
FT probability

3.5+

16%
FT probability

BTTS

45%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric APR Mukura
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins0%100%50%50%0%33%
Draws100%0%50%50%100%67%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: APR: DW • Mukura: WDD

League goals

Metric APR Mukura
HATHAT
GF total022112
GF avg0.02.01.00.51.00.7
GA total011011
GA avg0.01.00.50.01.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAPRMukura
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%50%67%33%
1.550%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAPRMukura
HATHAT
Clean sheets101202
Failed to score101101

Penalties

MetricAPRMukura
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAPRMukura
Wins01
Draws10
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-21-0—
Biggest losses————
Goals For0211
Goals Against0101

Model comparison

MetricAPRMukura
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%0%
H2h80%20%
Goals73%27%
Total59.4%40.6%

Advice: Combo Double chance : APR or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.55 @ Betano
Draw3.56 @ Pinnacle
Away6.60 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.30 @ Superbet
No1.57 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): APR = 0.87 (league 1.14), Mukura = 0.57 (league 0.88)

Mukura
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 23.7% 13.4% 3.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.7% 11.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.0% 5.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 2.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.6% · Draw 37.0% · Away win 22.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1