Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.45 (league 1.12) 0.16 (league 0.94)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.7% 58.5% 9.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
54.6%
1 - 0
24.4%
0 - 1
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Bugesera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gorilla 0 54.6% 8.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGorillaBugesera
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack57%29%
Defense71%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.42 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

31%
FT probability

2.5+

22%
FT probability

3.5+

15%
FT probability

BTTS

42%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gorilla Bugesera
HATHAT
Played325325
Wins33%0%20%33%0%20%
Draws67%100%80%33%100%60%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%20%

Form: Gorilla: WDDDD • Bugesera: WDDDL

League goals

Metric Gorilla Bugesera
HATHAT
GF total314112
GF avg1.00.50.80.30.50.4
GA total112112
GA avg0.30.50.40.30.50.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGorillaBugesera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%40%40%40%
1.520%0%0%0%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGorillaBugesera
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score112213

Penalties

MetricGorillaBugesera
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGorillaBugesera
Wins11
Draws03
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0—1-0—
Biggest losses——0-1—
Goals For2111
Goals Against1111

Model comparison

MetricGorillaBugesera
Form54%46%
Att67%33%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h36%64%
Goals43%57%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Gorilla or draw and -2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.38 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.85 @ Unibet
Away3.30 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.52 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.20 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gorilla = 0.45 (league 1.12), Bugesera = 0.16 (league 0.94)

Bugesera
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gorilla 0 54.6% 8.7% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 24.4% 3.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 5.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.7% · Draw 58.5% · Away win 9.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1