Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
1.14 (league 1.14)
0.17 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.8% | 32.6% | 5.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
30.7%
0 - 0
27.0%
2 - 0
17.5%
| Mukura | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 27.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.7% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | Mukura |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 100% | 53% |
| Attack | 88% | 50% |
| Defense | 75% | 75% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
0.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
44%
FT probability
2.5+
31%
FT probability
3.5+
22%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | Mukura | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Wins | 100% | 100% | 100% | 67% | 0% | 40% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 50% | 20% |
Form: Police: WWWWW • Mukura: WDDLW
League goals
| Metric | Police | Mukura | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 |
| GA total | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | Mukura | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 100% | 40% | 60% | 40% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 0% | 20% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | Mukura | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | Mukura |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | Mukura |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | — | — | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | Mukura |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 65% | 35% |
| Att | 64% | 36% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 87% | 13% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 38% | 63% |
| Total | 57.0% | 43.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 1.14 (league 1.14), Mukura = 0.17 (league 0.88)
| Mukura | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 27.0% | 4.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 30.7% | 5.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 17.5% | 3.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 6.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.8% · Draw 32.6% · Away win 5.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1