Sun, Nov 2 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.14)
1.70 (league 0.88)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 29.4% | 23.8% | 45.8% |
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
1 - 2
9.3%
0 - 1
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
| Etincelles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gicumbi | 0 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gicumbi | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 4 |
| Form | 47% | 25% |
| Attack | 63% | 13% |
| Defense | 50% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0.3 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
56%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
28%
FT probability
BTTS
67%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gicumbi | Etincelles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Wins | 50% | 33% | 40% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 33% | 20% | 67% | 100% | 75% |
| Loses | 50% | 33% | 40% | 33% | 0% | 25% |
Form: Gicumbi: LLWDW • Etincelles: DLDD
League goals
| Metric | Gicumbi | Etincelles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| GF avg | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gicumbi | Etincelles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 60% | 25% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 20% | 0% | 25% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gicumbi | Etincelles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gicumbi | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gicumbi | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 0 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gicumbi | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 70% | 30% |
| Att | 83% | 17% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 15% | 85% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 47.3% | 52.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Gicumbi or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gicumbi = 1.31 (league 1.14), Etincelles = 1.70 (league 0.88)
| Etincelles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gicumbi | 0 | 4.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 6.5% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.4% · Draw 23.8% · Away win 45.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1