Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
1.10 (league 1.18)
0.52 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 49.6% | 32.8% | 17.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.7%
0 - 0
19.7%
2 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Gicumbi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 73% | 53% |
| Attack | 45% | 64% |
| Defense | 82% | 55% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
60%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | Gicumbi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Wins | 75% | 67% | 71% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 43% |
Form: Police: WWWWWDD • Gicumbi: LLWDWDL
League goals
| Metric | Police | Gicumbi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | Gicumbi | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 86% | 43% | 71% | 71% |
| 1.5 | 29% | 0% | 43% | 29% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | Gicumbi | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 1 |
| Losses | 0 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | Gicumbi |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 58% | 42% |
| Att | 42% | 58% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 71% | 29% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 67.0% | 33.0% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 1.10 (league 1.18), Gicumbi = 0.52 (league 0.95)
| Gicumbi | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 19.7% | 10.3% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.7% | 11.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 4.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.6% · Draw 32.8% · Away win 17.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1