Sat, Nov 22 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Umuganda
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.13)
0.52 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 23.6% | 47.4% | 29.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
38.0%
0 - 1
19.9%
1 - 0
16.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Gorilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marines | 0 | 38.0% | 19.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Marines | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 40% |
| Attack | 45% | 27% |
| Defense | 64% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
46%
FT probability
2.5+
32%
FT probability
3.5+
23%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Marines | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| Wins | 33% | 67% | 50% | 40% | 0% | 29% |
| Draws | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 100% | 57% |
| Loses | 67% | 33% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 14% |
Form: Marines: WWLLLW • Gorilla: WDDDDWL
League goals
| Metric | Marines | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 6 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.9 |
| GA total | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Marines | Gorilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 67% | 50% | 57% | 57% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 17% | 29% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Marines | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Marines | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Marines | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 1 |
| Draws | 0 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | — |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-1 | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Marines | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 63% | 38% |
| Def | 43% | 57% |
| Poisson Distribution | 49% | 51% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 53% | 47% |
| Total | 53.0% | 47.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Marines or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Marines = 0.44 (league 1.13), Gorilla = 0.52 (league 0.95)
| Gorilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Marines | 0 | 38.0% | 19.9% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 8.8% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.6% · Draw 47.4% · Away win 29.1%
vtt 1 , vtd1