Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.28 (league 1.09)
0.65 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.7% | 47.0% | 39.3% |
best score tips
0 - 0
39.6%
0 - 1
25.8%
1 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Kiyovu Sports | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorilla | 0 | 39.6% | 25.8% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gorilla | Kiyovu Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 33% |
| Attack | 22% | 33% |
| Defense | 67% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
0.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
38%
FT probability
2.5+
27%
FT probability
3.5+
19%
FT probability
BTTS
42%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gorilla | Kiyovu Sports | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 40% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 50% | 22% |
| Draws | 40% | 67% | 50% | 60% | 25% | 44% |
| Loses | 20% | 33% | 25% | 40% | 25% | 33% |
Form: Gorilla: WDDDDWLL • Kiyovu Sports: LWDDDWDLL
League goals
| Metric | Gorilla | Kiyovu Sports | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
| GF avg | 1.0 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| GA total | 3 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gorilla | Kiyovu Sports | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 50% | 63% | 22% | 33% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 0% | 11% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gorilla | Kiyovu Sports | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gorilla | Kiyovu Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gorilla | Kiyovu Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 4 | 3 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-0 | — | — | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-1 | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gorilla | Kiyovu Sports |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 40% | 60% |
| Def | 50% | 50% |
| Poisson Distribution | 29% | 71% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 33.8% | 66.2% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Kiyovu Sports and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gorilla = 0.28 (league 1.09), Kiyovu Sports = 0.65 (league 0.92)
| Kiyovu Sports | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gorilla | 0 | 39.6% | 25.8% | 8.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 7.1% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.7% · Draw 47.0% · Away win 39.3%
Vtot 4 , Vtod1