Fri, Nov 28 2025 • 16:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
1 - 1

APR

Expected Goals
0.69 (league 1.12) 1.70 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
14.8% 23.5% 60.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.5%
0 - 2
13.2%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
APR
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 9.1% 15.5% 13.2% 7.5% 3.2% 1.1%
1 6.3% 10.8% 9.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.8%
2 2.2% 3.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAS KigaliAPR
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack43%100%
Defense29%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AS Kigali APR
HATHAT
Played538347
Wins20%33%25%100%25%57%
Draws40%0%25%0%50%29%
Loses40%67%50%0%25%14%

Form: AS Kigali: LLDWLLDW • APR: WWDDWLW

League goals

Metric AS Kigali APR
HATHAT
GF total3256511
GF avg0.60.70.62.01.31.6
GA total639156
GA avg1.21.01.10.31.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAS KigaliAPR
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%63%86%57%
1.513%38%57%14%
2.50%13%14%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAS KigaliAPR
HATHAT
Clean sheets213213
Failed to score224011

Penalties

MetricAS KigaliAPR
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAS KigaliAPR
Wins12
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-01-2
Biggest losses0-32-0—3-2
Goals For1232
Goals Against3213

Model comparison

MetricAS KigaliAPR
Form47%53%
Att27%73%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution34%66%
H2h25%75%
Goals40%60%
Total37.2%62.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or APR

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.20 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away1.76 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): AS Kigali = 0.69 (league 1.12), APR = 1.70 (league 0.92)

APR
0 1 2 3 4 5
AS Kigali 0 9.1% 15.5% 13.2% 7.5% 3.2% 1.1%
1 6.3% 10.8% 9.2% 5.2% 2.2% 0.8%
2 2.2% 3.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.3%
3 0.5% 0.9% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 14.8% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 60.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1