Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 13:00 • Stade Umuganda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.34 (league 1.12) 1.31 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.3% 26.1% 36.1%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.4%
1 - 0
9.5%
0 - 1
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Muhanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rutsiro 0 7.1% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.4% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.3% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRutsiroMuhanga
Played55
Form40%47%
Attack100%67%
Defense0%17%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rutsiro Muhanga
HATHAT
Played268358
Wins0%17%13%0%40%25%
Draws50%33%38%33%0%13%
Loses50%50%50%67%60%63%

Form: Rutsiro: LLLLDDDW • Muhanga: LLLDWLLW

League goals

Metric Rutsiro Muhanga
HATHAT
GF total369134
GF avg1.51.01.10.30.60.5
GA total41014459
GA avg2.01.71.81.31.01.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRutsiroMuhanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%88%38%88%
1.525%63%13%25%
2.513%25%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRutsiroMuhanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets011011
Failed to score022235

Penalties

MetricRutsiroMuhanga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRutsiroMuhanga
Wins01
Draws31
Losses43

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—2-3—1-2
Biggest losses2-33-10-22-0
Goals For2312
Goals Against3322

Model comparison

MetricRutsiroMuhanga
Form46%54%
Att60%40%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total50.8%49.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rutsiro or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.97 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.90 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.53 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.10 @ Betfair
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rutsiro = 1.34 (league 1.12), Muhanga = 1.31 (league 0.92)

Muhanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rutsiro 0 7.1% 9.3% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.5% 12.4% 8.1% 3.6% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.3% 8.3% 5.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.7% 2.4% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.3% · Draw 26.1% · Away win 36.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1