Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 16:00 •
Stade Amahoro
Expected Goals
1.84 (league 1.09)
0.33 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 73.6% | 19.5% | 5.8% |
best score tips
1 - 0
21.1%
2 - 0
19.4%
3 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Etincelles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APR | 0 | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.1% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.4% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | APR | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 53% | 33% |
| Attack | 100% | 38% |
| Defense | 25% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | APR | Etincelles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 8 |
| Wins | 100% | 20% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Draws | 0% | 60% | 38% | 80% | 100% | 88% |
| Loses | 0% | 20% | 13% | 20% | 0% | 13% |
Form: APR: WWDDWLWD • Etincelles: DLDDDDDD
League goals
| Metric | APR | Etincelles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 6 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 |
| GA total | 1 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| GA avg | 0.3 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | APR | Etincelles | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 88% | 63% | 50% | 63% |
| 1.5 | 50% | 13% | 0% | 13% |
| 2.5 | 13% | 13% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | APR | Etincelles | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | APR | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | APR | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 0 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-0 | 1-2 | — | — |
| Biggest losses | — | 3-2 | 0-2 | — |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | APR | Etincelles |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 62% | 38% |
| Att | 75% | 25% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 86% | 14% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 68.7% | 31.3% |
Advice: Winner : APR
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): APR = 1.84 (league 1.09), Etincelles = 0.33 (league 0.92)
| Etincelles | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| APR | 0 | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 21.1% | 6.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 19.4% | 6.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 11.9% | 3.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.6% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 5.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1