Tue, Dec 2 2025 • 16:00 • Stade Amahoro
Match Finished

APR

2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 1.12) 0.33 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.6% 20.3% 6.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
21.6%
2 - 0
19.3%
0 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Etincelles
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 12.1% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.6% 7.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAPREtincelles
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack100%38%
Defense25%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

57%
FT probability

2.5+

40%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric APR Etincelles
HATHAT
Played358538
Wins100%20%50%0%0%0%
Draws0%60%38%80%100%88%
Loses0%20%13%20%0%13%

Form: APR: WWDDWLWD • Etincelles: DLDDDDDD

League goals

Metric APR Etincelles
HATHAT
GF total6612134
GF avg2.01.21.50.21.00.5
GA total167336
GA avg0.31.20.90.61.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAPREtincelles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%63%50%63%
1.550%13%0%13%
2.513%13%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAPREtincelles
HATHAT
Clean sheets213303
Failed to score011404

Penalties

MetricAPREtincelles
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAPREtincelles
Wins20
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2——
Biggest losses—3-20-2—
Goals For3211
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricAPREtincelles
Form62%38%
Att75%25%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h85%15%
Goals71%29%
Total68.7%31.3%

Advice: Winner : APR

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Unibet
Draw4.21 @ Pinnacle
Away9.60 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.65 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.67 @ Marathonbet
No1.46 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): APR = 1.78 (league 1.12), Etincelles = 0.33 (league 0.92)

Etincelles
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 12.1% 4.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 21.6% 7.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 19.3% 6.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.4% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.6% · Draw 20.3% · Away win 6.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1