Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 1.09)
0.99 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 33.5% | 31.4% | 35.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
14.3%
0 - 1
14.1%
1 - 0
13.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Marines | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gasogi United | 0 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gasogi United | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 80% | 60% |
| Attack | 75% | 75% |
| Defense | 75% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
57%
FT probability
2.5+
40%
FT probability
3.5+
29%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gasogi United | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
| Wins | 67% | 50% | 56% | 60% | 50% | 56% |
| Draws | 33% | 33% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 0% | 17% | 11% | 40% | 50% | 44% |
Form: Gasogi United: DWDDLWWWW • Marines: WWLLLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Gasogi United | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gasogi United | Marines | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 78% | 33% | 78% | 56% |
| 1.5 | 33% | 33% | 44% | 22% |
| 2.5 | 11% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gasogi United | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gasogi United | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gasogi United | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 2 | 0 |
| Losses | 1 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gasogi United | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 57% | 43% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 56% | 44% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 56.7% | 43.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Gasogi United or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gasogi United = 0.96 (league 1.09), Marines = 0.99 (league 0.92)
| Marines | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gasogi United | 0 | 14.3% | 14.1% | 7.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 13.7% | 13.5% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | |
| 3 | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 33.5% · Draw 31.4% · Away win 35.0%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1