Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 13:00 • Bugesera Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.71 (league 1.12) 0.70 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
31.3% 38.1% 30.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.4%
1 - 0
17.4%
0 - 1
17.0%
Score & goals probability table
Mukura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bugesera 0 24.4% 17.0% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBugeseraMukura
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack56%56%
Defense22%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Bugesera Mukura
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins40%0%20%40%0%22%
Draws20%60%40%20%75%44%
Loses40%40%40%40%25%33%

Form: Bugesera: WDDDLLDLWL • Mukura: WDDLWDLLD

League goals

Metric Bugesera Mukura
HATHAT
GF total437437
GF avg0.80.60.70.80.80.8
GA total459448
GA avg0.81.00.90.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBugeseraMukura
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.560%50%67%67%
1.510%30%11%22%
2.50%10%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBugeseraMukura
HATHAT
Clean sheets325303
Failed to score224213

Penalties

MetricBugeseraMukura
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricBugeseraMukura
Wins11
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-0—2-0—
Biggest losses2-32-10-21-0
Goals For2121
Goals Against3221

Model comparison

MetricBugeseraMukura
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def46%54%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h15%85%
Goals25%75%
Total39.8%60.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Mukura

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.60 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.88 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.29 @ Marathonbet
No1.57 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Bugesera = 0.71 (league 1.12), Mukura = 0.70 (league 0.92)

Mukura
0 1 2 3 4 5
Bugesera 0 24.4% 17.0% 6.0% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 12.1% 4.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 6.2% 4.3% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.3% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 30.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1