Sat, Dec 6 2025 • 13:00 •
Stade Umuganda
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.10)
0.81 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.6% | 40.7% | 43.7% |
best score tips
0 - 0
30.9%
0 - 1
25.0%
1 - 0
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Gorilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rutsiro | 0 | 30.9% | 25.0% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Rutsiro | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 40% |
| Attack | 44% | 33% |
| Defense | 44% | 56% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.30
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.20
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
51%
FT probability
2.5+
36%
FT probability
3.5+
25%
FT probability
BTTS
58%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Rutsiro | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 4 | 6 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 10% | 33% | 25% | 30% |
| Draws | 25% | 33% | 30% | 33% | 50% | 40% |
| Loses | 75% | 50% | 60% | 33% | 25% | 30% |
Form: Rutsiro: LLLLDDDWLL • Gorilla: WDDDDWLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Rutsiro | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 3 | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 1.0 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.7 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| GA avg | 1.5 | 1.7 | 1.6 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.6 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Rutsiro | Gorilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 60% | 90% | 50% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 20% | 50% | 20% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 10% | 20% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Rutsiro | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
Penalties
| Metric | Rutsiro | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Rutsiro | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 2-3 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | 0-1 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Rutsiro | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 45% | 55% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 44% | 56% |
| Poisson Distribution | 35% | 65% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 80% | 20% |
| Total | 57.7% | 42.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Rutsiro or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Rutsiro = 0.37 (league 1.10), Gorilla = 0.81 (league 0.93)
| Gorilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Rutsiro | 0 | 30.9% | 25.0% | 10.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 11.3% | 9.1% | 3.7% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.6% · Draw 40.7% · Away win 43.7%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1