Fri, Dec 5 2025 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.11) 0.89 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.8% 36.3% 40.8%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.8%
0 - 1
20.4%
1 - 0
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Etincelles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kiyovu Sports 0 22.8% 20.4% 9.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKiyovu SportsEtincelles
Played55
Form47%27%
Attack44%44%
Defense67%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

40%
FT probability

2.5+

28%
FT probability

3.5+

20%
FT probability

BTTS

48%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kiyovu Sports Etincelles
HATHAT
Played5510549
Wins0%60%30%0%0%0%
Draws60%20%40%80%75%78%
Loses40%20%30%20%25%22%

Form: Kiyovu Sports: LWDDDWDLLW • Etincelles: DLDDDDDDL

League goals

Metric Kiyovu Sports Etincelles
HATHAT
GF total055145
GF avg0.01.00.50.21.00.6
GA total415358
GA avg0.80.20.50.61.30.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKiyovu SportsEtincelles
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.530%30%56%67%
1.510%20%0%22%
2.510%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKiyovu SportsEtincelles
HATHAT
Clean sheets347303
Failed to score527404

Penalties

MetricKiyovu SportsEtincelles
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricKiyovu SportsEtincelles
Wins10
Draws36
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-3——
Biggest losses0-21-00-22-1
Goals For0311
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricKiyovu SportsEtincelles
Form64%36%
Att50%50%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals69%31%
Total61.5%38.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Kiyovu Sports or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ 10Bet
Draw2.80 @ Betfair
Away4.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.40 @ Betfair
No1.53 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.00 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kiyovu Sports = 0.59 (league 1.11), Etincelles = 0.89 (league 0.89)

Etincelles
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kiyovu Sports 0 22.8% 20.4% 9.1% 2.7% 0.6% 0.1%
1 13.3% 11.9% 5.3% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
2 3.9% 3.5% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.8% · Draw 36.3% · Away win 40.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1