Fri, Dec 12 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.12)
0.93 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 33.4% | 36.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
17.5%
0 - 1
16.2%
1 - 0
14.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Gasogi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 17.5% | 16.2% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | Gasogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 60% |
| Attack | 30% | 40% |
| Defense | 80% | 60% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 2 | 0.4 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
52%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | Gasogi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 6 | 5 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| Wins | 67% | 40% | 55% | 40% | 50% | 45% |
| Draws | 33% | 60% | 45% | 20% | 33% | 27% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 17% | 27% |
Form: Police: WWWWWDDWDDD • Gasogi United: DWDDLWWWWLL
League goals
| Metric | Police | Gasogi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 8 | 3 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 10 |
| GA avg | 0.7 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | Gasogi United | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 45% | 64% | 45% |
| 1.5 | 27% | 0% | 27% | 45% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | Gasogi United | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | Gasogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | Gasogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 0 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | Gasogi United |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 44% | 56% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 93% | 7% |
| Goals | 75% | 25% |
| Total | 62.3% | 37.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 0.82 (league 1.12), Gasogi United = 0.93 (league 0.90)
| Gasogi United | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 17.5% | 16.2% | 7.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.2% | 13.2% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.1% · Draw 33.4% · Away win 36.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1