Thu, Dec 18 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.85 (league 1.16)
1.51 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 21.0% | 26.0% | 52.5% |
best score tips
0 - 1
14.3%
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 2
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
| Marines | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gicumbi | 0 | 9.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gicumbi | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 50% | 50% |
| Defense | 25% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 9 | 1.8 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
63%
FT probability
2.5+
44%
FT probability
3.5+
31%
FT probability
BTTS
68%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gicumbi | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 12 |
| Wins | 40% | 17% | 27% | 67% | 50% | 58% |
| Draws | 40% | 17% | 27% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Loses | 20% | 67% | 45% | 33% | 50% | 42% |
Form: Gicumbi: LLWDWDLLDWL • Marines: WWLLLWWLWWLW
League goals
| Metric | Gicumbi | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 7 | 5 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GF avg | 1.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gicumbi | Marines | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 73% | 82% | 75% | 50% |
| 1.5 | 36% | 36% | 42% | 17% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gicumbi | Marines | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gicumbi | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Total | 0 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gicumbi | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 0 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 1-2 | 2-0 | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gicumbi | Marines |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 39% | 61% |
| H2h | 7% | 93% |
| Goals | 22% | 78% |
| Total | 30.0% | 70.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Marines
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gicumbi = 0.85 (league 1.16), Marines = 1.51 (league 0.95)
| Marines | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gicumbi | 0 | 9.4% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | |
| 2 | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | |
| 3 | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.0% · Draw 26.0% · Away win 52.5%
vtt 1 , vtd1