Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 13:00 •
Bugesera Stadium
Expected Goals
0.16 (league 1.13)
0.68 (league 0.93)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 7.9% | 48.0% | 44.1% |
best score tips
0 - 0
43.2%
0 - 1
29.3%
0 - 2
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bugesera | 0 | 43.2% | 29.3% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Bugesera | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 27% | 60% |
| Attack | 29% | 21% |
| Defense | 50% | 93% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.70
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
41%
FT probability
2.5+
29%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
47%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Bugesera | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 7 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 43% | 0% | 21% | 71% | 50% | 62% |
| Draws | 14% | 57% | 36% | 29% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 43% | 43% | 43% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Form: Bugesera: WDDDLLDLWLLLWD • Police: WWWWWDDWDDDWW
League goals
| Metric | Bugesera | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 4 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GF avg | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 6 | 8 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Bugesera | Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 57% | 57% | 77% | 38% |
| 1.5 | 14% | 29% | 23% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 14% | 0% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Bugesera | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Bugesera | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Bugesera | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 3 | 0 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | — | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 2-3 | 3-1 | — | — |
| Goals For | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Bugesera | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 31% | 69% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 13% | 88% |
| Poisson Distribution | 19% | 81% |
| H2h | 71% | 29% |
| Goals | 59% | 41% |
| Total | 41.7% | 58.5% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Police and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Bugesera = 0.16 (league 1.13), Police = 0.68 (league 0.93)
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Bugesera | 0 | 43.2% | 29.3% | 10.0% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 6.9% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 7.9% · Draw 48.0% · Away win 44.1%
Vtot 7 , Vtod1