Tue, Dec 23 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.12)
0.93 (league 0.90)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 31.6% | 33.0% | 35.4% |
best score tips
0 - 0
16.7%
0 - 1
15.5%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Kigali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gasogi United | 0 | 16.7% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gasogi United | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 10% | 30% |
| Defense | 30% | 50% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.50
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
53%
FT probability
2.5+
37%
FT probability
3.5+
26%
FT probability
BTTS
53%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gasogi United | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 40% | 38% | 38% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 23% | 57% | 17% | 38% |
| Loses | 40% | 38% | 38% | 29% | 67% | 46% |
Form: Gasogi United: DWDDLWWWWLLLL • AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Gasogi United | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gasogi United | AS Kigali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 54% | 54% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 46% | 8% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gasogi United | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gasogi United | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gasogi United | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 1 |
| Draws | 2 | 1 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gasogi United | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 25% | 75% |
| Def | 42% | 58% |
| Poisson Distribution | 52% | 48% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 40% | 60% |
| Total | 39.7% | 60.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or AS Kigali and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gasogi United = 0.86 (league 1.12), AS Kigali = 0.93 (league 0.90)
| AS Kigali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gasogi United | 0 | 16.7% | 15.5% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.4% | 13.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | |
| 2 | 6.2% | 5.7% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 31.6% · Draw 33.0% · Away win 35.4%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1