Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.67 (league 1.16)
0.38 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 37.5% | 44.5% | 18.0% |
best score tips
0 - 0
35.1%
1 - 0
23.5%
0 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Gorilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 35.1% | 13.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Police | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 60% | 33% |
| Attack | 21% | 21% |
| Defense | 93% | 57% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 6 | 1.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
43%
FT probability
2.5+
30%
FT probability
3.5+
21%
FT probability
BTTS
57%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Police | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 9 | 5 | 14 |
| Wins | 71% | 50% | 62% | 22% | 20% | 21% |
| Draws | 29% | 50% | 38% | 33% | 60% | 43% |
| Loses | 0% | 0% | 0% | 44% | 20% | 36% |
Form: Police: WWWWWDDWDDDWW • Gorilla: WDDDDWLLLWDDLL
League goals
| Metric | Police | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 9 | 4 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| GF avg | 1.3 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 4 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 3 | 12 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.9 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Police | Gorilla | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 77% | 38% | 50% | 64% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 0% | 14% | 14% |
| 2.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 7% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Police | Gorilla | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Police | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Police | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 5 | 1 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 0 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 2-1 | 1-2 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | — | — | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| Goals Against | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Police | Gorilla |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 64% | 36% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 86% | 14% |
| Poisson Distribution | 68% | 32% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 63.3% | 36.7% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Police or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Police = 0.67 (league 1.16), Gorilla = 0.38 (league 0.96)
| Gorilla | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Police | 0 | 35.1% | 13.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.5% | 8.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 7.9% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.5% · Draw 44.5% · Away win 18.0%
vtt 5 , vtd1