Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 13:00 • Stade Umuganda
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.66 (league 1.18) 0.57 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
32.3% 41.4% 26.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.3%
1 - 0
19.4%
0 - 1
16.6%
Score & goals probability table
Amagaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marines 0 29.3% 16.6% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMarinesAmagaju
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack44%22%
Defense33%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

48%
FT probability

2.5+

34%
FT probability

3.5+

24%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Marines Amagaju
HATHAT
Played78157714
Wins57%38%47%0%43%21%
Draws14%0%7%29%14%21%
Loses29%63%47%71%43%57%

Form: Marines: WWLLLWWLWWLWLDL • Amagaju: WDLLLLWDLWLLLD

League goals

Metric Marines Amagaju
HATHAT
GF total9817246
GF avg1.31.01.10.30.60.4
GA total67139413
GA avg0.90.90.91.30.60.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMarinesAmagaju
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%60%36%71%
1.540%27%7%21%
2.50%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMarinesAmagaju
HATHAT
Clean sheets336134
Failed to score134549

Penalties

MetricMarinesAmagaju
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricMarinesAmagaju
Wins21
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-2—1-2
Biggest losses1-22-10-21-0
Goals For2212
Goals Against2221

Model comparison

MetricMarinesAmagaju
Form50%50%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h40%60%
Goals44%56%
Total50.0%50.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Marines or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.91 @ William Hill
Draw3.02 @ Marathonbet
Away4.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Superbet
No1.60 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.68 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.45 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Marines = 0.66 (league 1.18), Amagaju = 0.57 (league 0.95)

Amagaju
0 1 2 3 4 5
Marines 0 29.3% 16.6% 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.4% 11.0% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
2 6.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.4% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 32.3% · Draw 41.4% · Away win 26.4%

vtt 3 , vtd1