Fri, Dec 26 2025 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.11)
0.80 (league 0.89)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 24.0% | 38.2% | 37.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
25.1%
0 - 1
20.2%
1 - 0
14.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Musanze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gasogi United | 0 | 25.1% | 20.2% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Gasogi United | Musanze |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 47% |
| Attack | 10% | 80% |
| Defense | 30% | 20% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 1 | 0.2 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
54%
FT probability
2.5+
38%
FT probability
3.5+
27%
FT probability
BTTS
55%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Gasogi United | Musanze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Wins | 40% | 38% | 38% | 57% | 20% | 42% |
| Draws | 20% | 25% | 23% | 29% | 40% | 33% |
| Loses | 40% | 38% | 38% | 14% | 40% | 25% |
Form: Gasogi United: DWDDLWWWWLLLL • Musanze: LWDDDWWWDLLW
League goals
| Metric | Gasogi United | Musanze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 4 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 16 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 13 |
| GA avg | 1.2 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Gasogi United | Musanze | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 54% | 54% | 75% | 67% |
| 1.5 | 23% | 46% | 33% | 33% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 0% | 25% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Gasogi United | Musanze | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Gasogi United | Musanze |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Gasogi United | Musanze |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 1 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 1-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Gasogi United | Musanze |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 30% | 70% |
| Att | 11% | 89% |
| Def | 53% | 47% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 38% | 62% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 38.0% | 62.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Musanze
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Gasogi United = 0.58 (league 1.11), Musanze = 0.80 (league 0.89)
| Musanze | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Gasogi United | 0 | 25.1% | 20.2% | 8.1% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 14.5% | 11.7% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 38.2% · Away win 37.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1