Fri, Jan 2 2026 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.16) 1.00 (league 0.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
29.0% 32.4% 38.6%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.1%
0 - 0
16.0%
1 - 1
13.3%
Score & goals probability table
Musanze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gasogi United 0 16.0% 16.1% 8.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGasogi UnitedMusanze
Played55
Form7%20%
Attack11%67%
Defense11%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)1 | 0.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gasogi United Musanze
HATHAT
Played68148614
Wins33%38%36%50%17%36%
Draws33%25%29%25%33%29%
Loses33%38%36%25%50%36%

Form: Gasogi United: DWDDLWWWWLLLLD • Musanze: LWDDDWWWDLLWLL

League goals

Metric Gasogi United Musanze
HATHAT
GF total571213518
GF avg0.80.90.91.60.81.3
GA total771410717
GA avg1.20.91.01.31.21.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGasogi UnitedMusanze
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%57%71%71%
1.521%43%36%36%
2.57%0%21%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGasogi UnitedMusanze
HATHAT
Clean sheets246224
Failed to score246134

Penalties

MetricGasogi UnitedMusanze
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricGasogi UnitedMusanze
Wins43
Draws23
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-00-23-00-2
Biggest losses0-22-01-32-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricGasogi UnitedMusanze
Form25%75%
Att14%86%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h38%62%
Goals50%50%
Total38.2%61.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Musanze

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.90 @ Bet365
Away3.10 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.27 @ Superbet
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.78 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gasogi United = 0.83 (league 1.16), Musanze = 1.00 (league 0.96)

Musanze
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gasogi United 0 16.0% 16.1% 8.1% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
1 13.2% 13.3% 6.7% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
2 5.5% 5.5% 2.8% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 29.0% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 38.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1