Sat, Dec 27 2025 • 13:00 •
Umuganda Stadium
Expected Goals
0.32 (league 1.12)
0.69 (league 0.92)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 15.3% | 45.0% | 39.8% |
best score tips
0 - 0
36.5%
0 - 1
25.1%
1 - 0
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
| AS Kigali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etincelles | 0 | 36.5% | 25.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Etincelles | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 20% | 20% |
| Attack | 43% | 21% |
| Defense | 29% | 64% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.40
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
49%
FT probability
2.5+
34%
FT probability
3.5+
24%
FT probability
BTTS
52%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Etincelles | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 7 | 6 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 13 |
| Wins | 0% | 17% | 8% | 14% | 17% | 15% |
| Draws | 57% | 50% | 54% | 57% | 17% | 38% |
| Loses | 43% | 33% | 38% | 29% | 67% | 46% |
Form: Etincelles: DLDDDDDDLLWLL • AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDLLDD
League goals
| Metric | Etincelles | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 2 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| GF avg | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.6 |
| GA total | 6 | 10 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 14 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Etincelles | AS Kigali | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 62% | 77% | 54% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 8% | 31% | 8% | 38% |
| 2.5 | 8% | 8% | 0% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 8% | 0% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Etincelles | AS Kigali | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Failed to score | 5 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Etincelles | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Etincelles | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 1-3 | 1-0 | 0-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 4-1 | 0-3 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 4 | 3 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Etincelles | AS Kigali |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 67% | 33% |
| Def | 33% | 67% |
| Poisson Distribution | 36% | 64% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 56% | 44% |
| Total | 50.7% | 49.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : Etincelles or draw and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Etincelles = 0.32 (league 1.12), AS Kigali = 0.69 (league 0.92)
| AS Kigali | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Etincelles | 0 | 36.5% | 25.1% | 8.6% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.7% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.3% · Draw 45.0% · Away win 39.8%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1