Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 13:00 • Umuganda Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.38 (league 1.17) 0.86 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.7% 39.3% 45.0%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.0%
0 - 1
24.8%
1 - 0
11.1%
Score & goals probability table
AS Kigali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Etincelles 0 29.0% 24.8% 10.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.1% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEtincellesAS Kigali
Played55
Form27%20%
Attack43%29%
Defense36%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

54%
FT probability

2.5+

38%
FT probability

3.5+

27%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Etincelles AS Kigali
HATHAT
Played77147815
Wins0%14%7%14%13%13%
Draws57%57%57%57%25%40%
Loses43%29%36%29%63%47%

Form: Etincelles: DLDDDDDDLLWLLD • AS Kigali: LLDWLLDWDLLDDDL

League goals

Metric Etincelles AS Kigali
HATHAT
GF total29114711
GF avg0.31.30.80.60.90.7
GA total6111771219
GA avg0.91.61.21.01.51.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEtincellesAS Kigali
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.564%79%60%67%
1.57%29%13%40%
2.57%7%0%13%
3.50%7%0%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEtincellesAS Kigali
HATHAT
Clean sheets303325
Failed to score505336

Penalties

MetricEtincellesAS Kigali
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricEtincellesAS Kigali
Wins11
Draws63
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-31-00-2
Biggest losses0-24-10-34-2
Goals For1312
Goals Against2434

Model comparison

MetricEtincellesAS Kigali
Form57%43%
Att60%40%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h62%38%
Goals56%44%
Total52.5%47.5%

Advice: Double chance : Etincelles or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.75 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.92 @ Betano
Away2.87 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Betfair
No1.65 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.75 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.44 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Etincelles = 0.38 (league 1.17), AS Kigali = 0.86 (league 0.95)

AS Kigali
0 1 2 3 4 5
Etincelles 0 29.0% 24.8% 10.6% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.1% 9.5% 4.1% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.8% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.7% · Draw 39.3% · Away win 45.0%

vtt 4 , vtd1