Sun, Jan 4 2026 • 13:00 • Kigali Pelé Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.13 (league 1.17) 0.51 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.0% 32.4% 16.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
22.0%
0 - 0
19.5%
2 - 0
12.4%
Score & goals probability table
Muhanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayon Sports 0 19.5% 9.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.0% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRayon SportsMuhanga
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack78%22%
Defense44%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.42 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

55%
FT probability

2.5+

39%
FT probability

3.5+

28%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rayon Sports Muhanga
HATHAT
Played67136713
Wins50%43%46%0%43%23%
Draws17%29%23%33%0%15%
Loses33%29%31%67%57%62%

Form: Rayon Sports: WLDWWWLLDWLWD • Muhanga: LLLDWLLWWLDLL

League goals

Metric Rayon Sports Muhanga
HATHAT
GF total7916246
GF avg1.21.31.20.30.60.5
GA total59147815
GA avg0.81.31.11.21.11.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRayon SportsMuhanga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%69%38%77%
1.538%31%8%31%
2.58%8%0%8%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRayon SportsMuhanga
HATHAT
Clean sheets224123
Failed to score213448

Penalties

MetricRayon SportsMuhanga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricRayon SportsMuhanga
Wins32
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-2—1-2
Biggest losses0-23-00-23-0
Goals For3212
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricRayon SportsMuhanga
Form67%33%
Att78%22%
Def55%45%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total72.2%27.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Rayon Sports or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Unibet
Draw4.00 @ Superbet
Away9.15 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.67 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.50 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rayon Sports = 1.13 (league 1.17), Muhanga = 0.51 (league 0.95)

Muhanga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rayon Sports 0 19.5% 9.9% 2.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 22.0% 11.1% 2.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.4% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.7% 2.4% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.0% · Draw 32.4% · Away win 16.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1