Sat, Jan 3 2026 • 16:30 • Stade Amahoro
Match Finished

APR

2 - 1
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 1.16) 0.19 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.5% 21.9% 4.0%
best score tips
1 - 0
26.6%
2 - 0
21.5%
0 - 0
16.5%
Score & goals probability table
Bugesera
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 16.5% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.5% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAPRBugesera
Played55
Form73%47%
Attack43%29%
Defense86%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric APR Bugesera
HATHAT
Played67138715
Wins83%29%54%50%0%27%
Draws17%57%38%13%57%33%
Loses0%14%8%38%43%40%

Form: APR: WWDDWLWDWDDWW • Bugesera: WDDDLLDLWLLLWDW

League goals

Metric APR Bugesera
HATHAT
GF total108187411
GF avg1.71.11.40.90.60.7
GA total2796814
GA avg0.31.00.70.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAPRBugesera
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.577%54%60%53%
1.554%8%13%27%
2.58%8%0%13%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAPRBugesera
HATHAT
Clean sheets426437
Failed to score123336

Penalties

MetricAPRBugesera
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricAPRBugesera
Wins21
Draws23
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-1—
Biggest losses—3-22-33-1
Goals For3221
Goals Against1333

Model comparison

MetricAPRBugesera
Form61%39%
Att60%40%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h85%15%
Goals75%25%
Total73.8%26.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : APR or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.42 @ Bet365
Draw4.00 @ Superbet
Away10.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.40 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.62 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Betfair
No1.43 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): APR = 1.61 (league 1.16), Bugesera = 0.19 (league 0.95)

Bugesera
0 1 2 3 4 5
APR 0 16.5% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 26.6% 5.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.5% 4.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 11.5% 2.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.5% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 4.0%

vtt 2 , vtd1