Sun, Jan 11 2026 • 13:00 •
Kigali Pelé Stadium
Expected Goals
0.21 (league 1.16)
0.38 (league 0.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.3% | 60.1% | 26.6% |
best score tips
0 - 0
55.7%
0 - 1
21.1%
1 - 0
11.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kiyovu Sports | 0 | 55.7% | 21.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 67% |
| Attack | 70% | 70% |
| Defense | 70% | 80% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 3 | 0.6 | 2 | 0.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
1.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
1.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
38%
FT probability
2.5+
27%
FT probability
3.5+
19%
FT probability
BTTS
41%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
- no cards data
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 8 | 8 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 16 |
| Wins | 25% | 63% | 44% | 75% | 38% | 56% |
| Draws | 50% | 13% | 31% | 25% | 50% | 38% |
| Loses | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 6% |
Form: Kiyovu Sports: LWDDDWDLLWWLWWDW • Police: WWWWWDDWDDDWWLWD
League goals
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 5 | 11 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 18 |
| GF avg | 0.6 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
| GA avg | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Kiyovu Sports | Police | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 44% | 75% | 44% |
| 1.5 | 25% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| 2.5 | 19% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 13% | 0% | 6% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Police | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 4 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 9 |
| Failed to score | 6 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 5 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-1 | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-2 | 1-0 | — | 1-0 |
| Goals For | 4 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Kiyovu Sports | Police |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 50% | 50% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 40% | 60% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 60% | 40% |
| Goals | 31% | 69% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Police and -3.5 goals
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Kiyovu Sports = 0.21 (league 1.16), Police = 0.38 (league 0.95)
| Police | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Kiyovu Sports | 0 | 55.7% | 21.1% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 11.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.3% · Draw 60.1% · Away win 26.6%
vtt 1 , vtd1